2017 Billboard Music Awards Prediction: Top Country Song

Florida Georgia Line has two songs nominated for Top Country Song at the 2017 Billboard Music Awards, but just one can win. One will win.

It's probably not a coincidence they're performing "H.O.L.Y" with John Legend at the BBMAs on Sunday (May 21). The song was the No. 1 digital song and No. 1 Hot Country Song of 2016. The Hot Country Song chart combines everything Billboard says it uses to figure out winners for the awards: digital sales, streaming, radio airplay etc ...

While the official window for data is between March 2016 and March 2017, there isn't a song amongst the other nominees that had such a strong first three months of the year that it will overcome "H.O.L.Y." Keith Urban's "Blue Ain't Your Color" comes closest, peaking at No. 1 on airplay charts on its way to going Platinum this year. That's better numbers than Little Big Town's "Better Man."

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Tyler Hubbard and Brian Kelley's collaboration with Tim McGraw is also nominated, but it's difficult to believe "May We All" will top "H.O.L.Y." The final nominee is Kenny Chesney. "Setting the World on Fire" with Pink was 20th on the Billboard Hot Country Songs chart. Honestly, it's difficult to figure out why others weren't nominated ahead of it, but that's no matter, as no one will top FGL. They've won two previous Billboard Music Awards.

The 2017 Billboard Music Awards air live on ABC on May 21 at 8PM ET.

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