Jason Aldean has reached a point where he'll be a regular nominee in this category for years to come. He could release a hard-rockin', countrified version of Justin Bieber's 'Baby' and it'd still hit the Top 5 of the Billboard charts. Of the new generation of country men, Aldean is the biggest concert draw.

He will win if: He takes the fan vote in a landslide. This is a very real possibility, as he's still seen as an underdog to stars like Kenny Chesney -- and fans love to support an underdog. He'll struggle with the industry vote however, but it's not clear how much information from each group is used to determine the winner.