Here is a fun fact: Taylor Swift has never won this award. In 2011, she won the Entertainer of the Year award instead. In fact, voters often split their ticket, voting for one artist in their respective male/female category and another as Entertainer.

She will win if: She doesn't win Entertainer of the Year. One has to have a dominant year to win both, and while Swift is certainly a front runner for the bigger of the two awards, she's not the runaway. She charted three Top 5 records in 2011 and had the most talked-about tour in the country. However, the Entertainer of the Year category is stacked this year, so she could go home empty handed.